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When Higher for Longer Becomes Higher Forever: Interest Rates Going Forward

by wpadmin | Apr 9, 2024 | Perspectives

At its most basic, interest rates reflect supply and demand. Supply comes from the amount of money in circulation and demand from the various parties who, for their own reasons, desire to borrow. In a free market the two sides agree upon a given cost for money, called...

When Prices Reach a High Nobody Rings a Bell: The Last Days of Bitcoins

by wpadmin | Mar 12, 2024 | Perspectives

March 5, 2024, witnessed a remarkable sight. Bitcoins set an all-time high and then plunged tenpercent in the same day. Bitcoin prices did stabilize by the end of the day and saw some recovery fromthe lows. Their movement also impacted parts of the stock market, with...

Don’t Eat, Don’t Drive, Live out of your Car. The Idiocy of “Core” CPI

by wpadmin | Feb 13, 2024 | Perspectives

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was first devised in 1914 to tell the government how much faster prices were rising in coastal towns where warships were being built. Theidea was that the government would add to the wages of defense workers in such localitieswhere...

How Long Can Valuations Stay High? What History Tells Us

by wpadmin | Jan 17, 2024 | Perspectives

My first employment out of graduate school at Vanderbilt was with the New Yorkfirm of Kidder, Peabody & Company. The firm brought people in to discuss variouspertinent topics to the training class. For economics we were lectured by a Professor Gamerov. He posed...

What’s in Store for ’24? The Challenge of Investment Forecasting

by wpadmin | Dec 11, 2023 | Perspectives

According to the American Institute of Individual Investors (AAII), investors were the mostpessimistic in the last twelve months almost one year ago when the weekly index of pessimism aboutthe future reached 52.3%. It is 19.6% now. This is the lowest reading on...
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