What’s in Store for ’24? The Challenge of Investment Forecasting

According to the American Institute of Individual Investors (AAII), investors were the mostpessimistic in the last twelve months almost one year ago when the weekly index of pessimism aboutthe future reached 52.3%. It is 19.6% now. This is the lowest reading on...

How “Public/Private Cooperation” Works in China:Bamboo Capitalism

In western societies, the concept of government helping the private sector is done infrequently.Except for perhaps support for original research, governments do not in general support specific firmsor industries outside of wartime. While there have been tax incentives...

One Sure Result from Political Turmoil: Higher Interest Rates

The recent dismissal of Kevin McCarthy, the Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives, by members of his own party has a certain thespian quality to it. Sort of like watching a modern adaptation of Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar. It is not every day that a...

Ever Landed in a Glider? A “Soft Landing” is Not What you Expect

Wall Street jargon has now embraced aeronautics. Pundits have been busy talkingup how The Federal Reserve will “glide the economy to a soft landing”. In this analogy,the earlier stimulus spending by the government is the propulsion. The Fed’s applyinginterest rates is...